With river flows having mostly returned to normal following a very wet start to the year, the outlook for May is for normal flows in eastern parts of the UK, with normal to below normal flows over northern and western UK. This pattern is likely to persist over the next three months. Groundwater levels are likely to be within the normal range for the next three months, with the exception of the northern Permo-Triassic sandstone aquifer, which will remain notably high throughout May. Rainfall projections show a slight increase in the probability of above-average rainfall for May, though May has begun with very dry weather in eastern parts of the UK. For May-June-July there are equal chances of above- and below-average rainfall.
The full Outlook can be found here.
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