October Hydrological Outlook published
Oct 19, 2015
Summary
The outlook for October is for normal to below normal river flows and groundwater levels across most of the country, but with normal to above normal flows and levels in southern England. This picture reflects rainfall patterns over recent months; the outlook in southern areas is a legacy of the wet August, whereas the increased likelihood of below normal flows elsewhere reflects the very dry September, which was notably dry in the north-west. The three month outlook suggests a similar contrast between southern England and areas further north, but with a greater prevalence of normal flows and groundwater levels in the latter. At this transitional time of year, uncertainty is high for the three month outlook, as late autumn rainfall will be highly influential.
The three-month rainfall forecast suggests wetter than normal conditions are more likely over this timeframe.
For more information see here.
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